World events · evidence observatory

Follow the event. Inspect the proof.

Current, source-linked dossiers on Iran and the Middle East, Russia–Ukraine, and globally consequential U.S. policy. Open any story to inspect the claim ledger, score breakdown, chronology, representative source material, and full source metadata.

Curated public snapshot · 19 dossiers · 72 source records · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Current evidence dossiers

19 dossiers shown
Iran / Middle Eastmoderate confidencewatch

Iran's enriched-uranium inventory remains unverified as inspection terms stay disputed

The authoritative stockpile figure is a June 2025 baseline, while current quantities, locations, and access remain unresolved.

Iran and the IAEA · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score78substantialOpen dossier →
Iran / Middle Eastmoderate confidencedeveloping

U.S. pauses planned Iran strikes as the two sides dispute the scope of talks

Washington says negotiations are beginning; Tehran says its active channel is a narrower shipping discussion with Oman.

Iran, United States, and the Gulf · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score87strongOpen dossier →
Iran / Middle Easthigh confidenceactive

Hormuz traffic remains severely constrained despite a new diplomatic opening

Official incident data and commercial transit observations show that safe, predictable passage has not returned.

Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score90strongOpen dossier →
Iran / Middle Eastmoderate confidenceactive

Iran expands executions and information controls under wartime security measures

The latest announced espionage executions sit within a broader, independently documented campaign of arrests and expedited proceedings.

Iran · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score84strongOpen dossier →
Russia–Ukrainehigh confidenceactive

Civilian harm rises as long-range strikes and glide-bomb attacks continue

UN-verified casualties climbed in the first half of 2026 while preliminary August reports pointed to continued attacks on cities on both sides.

Ukraine and western Russia · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score94strongOpen dossier →
Russia–Ukrainehigh confidenceactive

Mutual strike campaigns put power networks, refineries and transport links under sustained pressure

UN investigators documented systematic attacks on Ukraine's energy network as Ukraine expanded strikes on Russian oil and logistics targets.

Ukraine, Russia and the Black Sea · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score91strongOpen dossier →
Russia–Ukrainehigh confidenceactive

Nearly 3.9 million people remain internally displaced as housing damage deepens

New UNHCR and IOM data show persistent displacement, extensive housing damage and large shelter needs heading toward another winter.

Ukraine · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Aug 3, 2026 UTC

Signal score94strongOpen dossier →
U.S. Policydeveloping confidencedeveloping

Russia-and-Iran sanctions bill advances, but is not law

An 86–12 procedural vote showed broad Senate support while tariff authority, waivers and House timing remained unresolved.

United States / Russia / Global energy · 3 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 31, 2026 UTC

Signal score90strongOpen dossier →
Iran / Middle Eastmoderate confidenceactive

Iran conflict opens overlapping fronts across the Gulf, Iraq, Yemen, and Egypt

Missile interceptions, militia strikes, and threats to a second maritime chokepoint show widening geographic risk.

Gulf states, Iraq, Yemen, and Egypt · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 30, 2026 UTC

Signal score85strongOpen dossier →
Iran / Middle Eastmoderate confidencedeveloping

Lebanon–Israel pilot withdrawals begin while Hezbollah rejects disarmament terms

Initial handovers are visible, but the central disarmament-for-withdrawal bargain remains contested.

Lebanon and Israel · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 30, 2026 UTC

Signal score84strongOpen dossier →
U.S. Policyhigh confidenceactive

Federal Reserve holds rates amid a divided inflation outlook

The FOMC kept its target at 3.50%–3.75% by a 9–3 vote as June inflation cooled but annual energy prices remained elevated.

United States / Global markets · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 29, 2026 UTC

Signal score94strongOpen dossier →
U.S. Policymoderate confidenceactive

DHS permits some asylum referrals without a USCIS interview

An interim final rule moves selected affirmative applications directly to immigration court, while retaining interviews before USCIS grants or denies asylum.

United States / Global migration · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 28, 2026 UTC

Signal score90strongOpen dossier →
Russia–Ukrainehigh confidenceactive

Peace talks remain stalled while the EU expands sanctions on finance, energy and drone supply chains

No new negotiating round had been scheduled, while the EU's 21st package widened restrictions on banks, crypto platforms, vessels and military suppliers.

Ukraine, Russia, United States and European Union · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 24, 2026 UTC

Signal score91strongOpen dossier →
U.S. Policyhigh confidenceactive

U.S. tariffs take effect across 60 trading economies

Section 301 duties justified by forced-labor enforcement findings replace an expiring temporary tariff layer, with broad product exemptions.

United States / Global trade · 3 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 24, 2026 UTC

Signal score92strongOpen dossier →
Russia–Ukrainehigh confidencewatch

Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant retains cooling but operates with reduced safety redundancy

Repeated power losses, disrupted municipal water, incomplete monitoring and constrained IAEA access continue to narrow safety margins at the occupied plant.

Enerhodar, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine · 2 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 23, 2026 UTC

Signal score88strongOpen dossier →
Russia–Ukrainemoderate confidencedeveloping

Kostiantynivka remains the focal point of a contested, largely static front

Russian pressure has centered on the Donetsk stronghold, but independent access is limited and no reliable source resolves current control.

Donetsk region, Ukraine · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 22, 2026 UTC

Signal score79substantialOpen dossier →
U.S. Policyhigh confidenceactive

U.S. splits AI-chip access by destination and end user

China sales face controlled licensing and parent-company rules, while approved UAE government and commercial users gain license-free access.

United States / China / United Arab Emirates · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 10, 2026 UTC

Signal score90strongOpen dossier →
U.S. Policymoderate confidenceactive

EPA rescinds the greenhouse-gas endangerment finding

The final rule removes federal vehicle GHG standards and reporting duties, while a multistate court challenge tests its durability.

United States / Global climate · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 9, 2026 UTC

Signal score89strongOpen dossier →
U.S. Policyhigh confidenceactive

United States and NATO allies expand defense commitments

The Ankara declaration reaffirms Article 5, records a €70 billion Ukraine-support pledge for 2026 and shifts more financing toward Europe and Canada.

Euro-Atlantic / Ukraine · 4 sources · 2 scored claims · updated Jul 8, 2026 UTC

Signal score92strongOpen dossier →